ARTICLE
Mathematical Model of the Spread of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Burkina Faso
- Applied Mathematics , 11 : 1204-1218
Lien de l'article :
https://doi.org/10.4236/am.2020.1111082
Discipline :
Mathématiques, Physique, Chimie et Informatique
Auteur(s) :
Aboudramane Guiro, Blaise Koné, Stanislas Ouaro
Auteur(s) tagués :
GUIRO Aboudramane
Renseignée par : GUIRO Aboudramane
Résumé
In this paper, we develop a mathematical model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Burkina Faso. We use real data from Burkina Faso National Health Commission against COVID-19 to predict the dynamic of the disease and also the cumulative number of reported cases. We use public policies in model in order to reduce the contact rate, this allows to show how the reduction of the daily report of infectious cases goes, so we would like to draw the attention of decision makers for a rapid treatment of reported cases.
Mots-clés
COVID-19 pandemic, epidemic modeling, SARS-CoV-2 transmission, contact rate reduction, public health policy, epidemic dynamics, Burkina Faso