AbstractVariation in cropping areas’ size and food security is a major problem facingMali and Burkina Faso. The growth of agricultural production, especially ofstaple crops, is a key element of food security. Maize, millet and sorghum areamong the most widely grown cereal c rops in West Africa [1]. Specifically,global statistics from FAOSTAT, show that more and more land is beingtaken up for cereal crops production to meet food demands. From 1999 to2019, the area allocated to grow maize, millet and sorghum increased by0.12%, 0.06%, and 0.05% in Mali, and by 0.08%, 0%, and 0.03% in BurkinaFaso respectively. Based on the available literature and using statistical me-thods, this paper first investigated, on the one hand, how cultivated areas percapita are supposed to evolve in the future under the RCP4.5 climate scena-rio. On the other hand, what impact this evolution might have on agriculturalyields. The results show some average decreases of 3% in Mali and a constantstate of harvested area per capita in Burkina Faso, in the area of each selectedcrop. The attributed areas per capita average about 0.31 ha in Mali and 0.46ha in Burkina Faso. The average yield per capita is about 442.44 kg in Mali,and 330.40 kg in Burkina Faso. Some 4% decreases in each crop yield arelikely to occur in both countries under RCP4.5. Moreover, this thesis studiedthe future daily intake from each of the three main crops, in both countries.Although producing enough is not the only aspect of food security in a re-gion, it is important to know how this might change over time. (PDF) Projection of Socio-Economic and Climate Scenarios’ Impacts on Food Security in West Africa: Case of Mali and Burkina

Food Security, Climate Change