The objective of the study is to find out the predicative power of the 2019 and 2020 Baccalaureate exam English test. Using a whole class design the performances of 415 and 62 students in the Baccalaureate have been correlated with their performance in Semester one University studies in the anglophone department. Analysing with the statistical package R, the descriptive statistics of the results shows that for the cohort 2019, 358 students (86.27%) decreased in performance and 43 students (69.35%) for the cohort 2020. The students’ mean scores at the baccalaureate are above the ones in semester one. Comparing them with a t-test, the difference is statistically significant at p

Validity; predicative power; and English exam test.